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How the World's Money Moves Bitcoin: A Simple Guide to the Forces Behind the Crypto Comeback
Why rising money supply usually leads markets like Bitcoin to bounce back
Imagine global money as ocean tides. When it rises, even the most distant shores feel it. And in finance, few assets are as sensitive to these “tides” as Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
In this guide, we’ll break down what liquidity really means, why it matters, who controls it, and how it fuels the highs and lows of the crypto world. You don’t need to be a Wall Street analyst or crypto geek to understand, just being curious is.
Liquidity
Liquidity is simply how much money is sloshing around in the system. When there’s more of it, people borrow, spend, and invest more. When there’s less, they tighten their belts.
Think of it as the fuel for the financial engine. If central banks pour more gas into the tank, the engine runs hotter and fast moving assets like crypto often take off.
“Liquidity explains up to 90% of Bitcoin’s movements in macro-driven periods.”
— Raoul Pal, Real Vision
Who Controls the Money Flow?
Central banks like the U.S. Federal Reserve, European Central Bank (ECB), and People’s Bank of China decide how tight or loose money is.
They use tools like:
Interest rates (lower means cheaper loans)
Asset purchases (aka “quantitative easing”)
Lending programs to boost bank activity
Together, these actions shift a metric called M2 a broad measure of the total money supply. When M2 rises, crypto tends to benefit.
2025 Snapshot: The Tide Turns Again
Here’s what’s happening globally right now:
Inflation in the U.S. has slowed, with the Fed holding off on rate hikes.
China is pumping money into its system over ¥1.5 trillion recently.
Europe is eyeing looser policy later this year.
After two years of tighter conditions, global liquidity is expanding again. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other cryptocurrencies are already responding.
Crypto’s Chain Reaction
Money doesn’t flood all assets at once. It follows a pattern, almost like dominoes falling in order. Seasoned crypto investors know this story by heart.
Bitcoin jumps first — Big investors use it as a macro hedge.
Ethereum picks up next — Popular for its real-world utility in finance, NFTs, and apps.
Big-name altcoins surge — Like Solana, Avalanche, and Cardano.
Smaller tokens explode — These often deliver the biggest returns (and the biggest risks).
This rotation has played out in every major crypto rally and it’s starting again now.
Why It Matters to You
You don’t need to be a trader to care about this. When money gets easier to access, people invest more whether that’s in real estate, stocks, or crypto.
Understanding the flow of money helps you:
Spot the early signals before markets boom
Decide where in the cycle to enter or exit
Avoid hype and recognize patterns in price moves
Track the Tides Yourself
Want to see this in action?
Check global M2 money supply charts on platforms like TradingView or MacroMicro
Compare them with Bitcoin’s price over time
Notice how price tends to follow liquidity with a 2–3 month delay
When money grows, crypto soon rises. The timing isn’t perfect but the trend is powerful.
Building the Global M2 + Bitcoin Chart
If you want to track this relationship yourself, you can build your own Global M2 indicator using free tools:
Option 1: Use TradingView’s Prebuilt Indicators
Apply scripts like “Global M2 Money Supply (Offset)” to overlay M2 trends with Bitcoin’s price.
Customize the lag (try 78 or 90 days) to see correlation patterns in real time.
Option 2: DIY Method (Excel or Python)
Pull U.S. M2 (M2SL) from FRED.
Get China, EU, and Japan M2 data from MacroMicro.
Convert each series to USD using historical forex rates.
Sum them to create a Global M2 in USD.
Plot alongside Bitcoin’s historical price.
Add a 75–90 day forward lag to M2 to visualize its predictive power.
Sites like Bitcoin CounterFlow and StreetStats also offer ready made charts tracking global liquidity and BTC price correlation.
Looking Ahead
Right now, we’re in the early stages of what could become another major crypto upcycle. Bitcoin has already bounced back, Ethereum is heating up, and if history rhymes, altcoins could follow in dramatic fashion by 2026.
No one can predict the future, but one thing’s clear:
Liquidity is crypto’s lifeblood and it’s pumping again.
Stay curious, stay informed, and always ride the tide, not the noise.
If you found this useful, give it a clap to help more people discover it. Follow me here for more no-hype, data-driven insights on crypto.
Thanks for reading! For even deeper dives, check out my exclusive crypto posts on Beehive or stick around here on Medium for regular updates.
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